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What is Contraction Monthly Recurring Revenue?

By Jerusha Songate on April 06, 2021
Last updated on April 23, 2026

Contraction Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) is the revenue lost when customers cancel or downgrade their subscriptions. When you’re looking at your business goals, you need to consider not only your existing monthly revenue but this contraction MRR. This metric is crucial for understanding the overall health of your business.

Contraction Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) is an extremely important metric for subscription businesses. Measuring and planning around contraction MRR has to be done regularly, and it becomes easier with Baremetrics.

Learn how Baremetrics supports you in reducing churn and improving MRR with a 14-day free trial.

Here are all the facts you need to determine the full picture of your contraction MRR.

How to Calculate Contraction MRR

Contraction MRR is the total reduction in MRR due to downgrades and subscription cancelations (or churn) compared to the previous month.

Calculating your contraction monthly recurring revenue (MRR) is simple enough.

You simply add the total amount of monthly revenue lost from cancelations to the monthly revenue lost from downgrades using this formula: 

Contraction MRR = Downgrade MRR + Cancellation MRR

Calculate contraction MRR every month, and assess your contraction ARR at the end of each fiscal year.

When looking at contraction MRR, compare it against your expansion MRR, also known as growth MRR—that is, the growth rate of monthly revenue from upgrades, add-ons, conversions from free trials, and cross-sales. 

Keep in mind that expansion MRR does not include any dollars related to new customers, but both contraction and expansion MRR deal exclusively with your existing customers.

Anything to do with new customers would be considered new MRR, a third important metric for your subscription business.

  • Expansion MRR is calculated by adding up all-new recurring revenue from existing customers (those who have been subscribers for more than a month).

Ideally, your expansion MRR will be equal to or greater than your contraction monthly recurring revenue (MRR). This essentially means that with new acquisitions aside, your business is maintaining or steadily growing monthly recurring revenue.

Both contraction MRR and expansion MRR can be looked at as month-over-month percentages by using the following formula:

[(Current month MRR – Previous month MRR) / Previous month MRR] X 100

With the appropriate tools in place, you’ll be able to gain this insight without manually calculating the data each month.

Baremetrics automates payment processing and e-commerce reporting for subscription businesses, delivering detailed insights directly to your inbox according to your schedule. 

Learn about this function first-hand with a 14-day free trial.

Recommended reading: How to calculate monthly recurring revenue(MRR)

 

Downgrades vs. Cancelations

With a subscription business, cancelations are inevitable. While we wish that 100 percent of our customers remained with us for life, that simply isn’t realistic.

However, if your business offers multiple subscription levels, you’ll likely see some customers each month who choose to downgrade to a lower-cost option. 

In many cases, having a customer downgrade is far more desirable than canceling completely. The lost revenue from a downgrade is less than a total loss—after all, having some revenue from that customer is better than having none.

Generally speaking, retention becomes simpler when your customers know they have options available. 

Recommended reading: Recover and Cancellation Insights

How to Reduce Churn Rate

Understanding how and why people cancel their subscriptions with your business is critical to helping reduce churn and potentially recover the subscriber.

Upon receiving the cancellation request, you should ask customers to state their reason why and allow yourself to correct the issue. 

Often, you’ll hear objections about pricing. When a customer expresses that they’re no longer able to afford your product, you can set to work reminding them of the value they’ve received (and will continue to receive) from using your product.

This is particularly true in the SaaS business space, as changing software can lead to major shifts in operations and data loss—problems that are easily avoided by maintaining a subscription.

If there are continued pricing objections, leveraging an extended free trial or downgrade option can help your sales team potentially recover what would otherwise be a total loss.

Other common reasons for cancellation are related to customer experience. Either they had a negative support interaction, they’re struggling to understand the product, or they are switching to your competitors.

If you have comprehensive metrics and a solid churn management strategy, you’ll potentially be able to address these issues and recover the customer (and the revenue they bring each month). 

You may also want to consider reaching out to people who cancel a few months after they’ve canceled to extend an additional trial or discount. This can lead to account reactivation.

This focus on customer lifetime value, rather than just month-to-month increases and decreases, helps your MRR churn become less of an issue compared to your total MRR. 

Recommended reading:  How do you calculate retention rate

Leveraging Baremetrics to Improve Contraction MRR

Baremetrics is the ideal tool for subscription businesses to get the insight they need. Uniquely designed with data at the forefront, Baremetrics leverages automation and your customer base’s behavior to help you enhance your business. 

For improving contraction MRR, Baremetrics delivers not only monthly reports with the information you need but intelligently helps you fix failed payments and gain valuable insights about cancelations to reduce churn and improve contraction MRR. 

MRR metrics aren’t the only KPIs that Baremetrics can measure. Looking holistically at your business’s current state while forecasting for the future lets you develop a comprehensive business strategy, whether you’re a startup or an enterprise subscription business. 

One of the beautiful things about a subscription business is having consistent monthly recurring revenue (MRR). With a reliable stream of cash flowing from loyal customers, you’re able to consistently predict your growth, budget for your business’s marketing and operations, and position yourself for long-term success.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is contraction MRR and what causes it?
Contraction MRR is the total reduction in monthly recurring revenue from your existing subscriber base, caused by downgrades to lower-priced plans and outright subscription cancellations. It does not include revenue lost from customers who were never converted, and it is completely separate from new MRR, which tracks revenue from newly acquired subscribers. For SaaS operators, contraction MRR is a direct signal of how well you are retaining and delivering value to the customers you already have. A rising contraction rate month over month is often the first measurable sign of a pricing, product, or customer experience problem that needs addressing before it compounds into a serious MRR decline.
How do I calculate contraction MRR for a subscription business?
Contraction MRR is calculated by adding the recurring revenue lost from downgrades to the recurring revenue lost from cancellations in a given month, using the formula: Contraction MRR equals Downgrade MRR plus Cancellation MRR. Start by pulling the total monthly revenue that existing subscribers moved down from higher tiers, then add the monthly recurring value of every subscription that lapsed or was cancelled in the same period. Once you have your contraction MRR figure, compare it directly against your expansion MRR, which captures revenue growth from upgrades, add-ons, and cross-sales within your existing customer base. If expansion MRR equals or exceeds contraction MRR, your existing customer base is stable or growing without factoring in new acquisitions at all. Baremetrics automates this calculation in real time from your Stripe, Braintree, or Recurly data, so you are never manually reconciling these figures at month end.
What is the difference between contraction MRR, churn MRR, and expansion MRR?
Contraction MRR measures the revenue reduction from existing subscribers who downgrade or cancel, while churn MRR refers specifically to the portion of that contraction caused by full cancellations rather than plan downgrades. Expansion MRR is the opposite signal: it captures new recurring revenue generated from your existing customer base through upgrades, add-ons, or cross-sales. None of these three metrics include revenue from brand-new customers, which is tracked separately as new MRR. Understanding all three together gives you a complete picture of net revenue retention, which is one of the most important indicators of sustainable growth for a B2B SaaS business. Baremetrics separates new MRR, expansion MRR, contraction MRR, and churned MRR into distinct dashboard views so you can act on each driver independently.
How do I separate voluntary cancellations from involuntary churn caused by failed payments?
Separating voluntary cancellations from involuntary churn caused by failed payments requires connecting your payment processor data to an analytics layer that can distinguish between the two failure types at the transaction level. In Baremetrics, you can see your failed charge rate and the MRR at risk from payment failures in real time, separately from customers who actively chose to cancel. From there, activating Baremetrics Recover lets you automatically retry failed payments and trigger targeted email recovery sequences before those subscribers are ever counted as churned. Tracking the MRR recovered over time gives you a precise view of how much contraction revenue is preventable through dunning alone, which is a meaningful number for most subscription businesses running on Stripe or Braintree.
When should a SaaS founder start worrying about MRR contraction?
MRR contraction becomes a serious concern when your contraction rate consistently exceeds your expansion MRR, meaning your existing customer base is shrinking in revenue terms even before you account for new acquisitions. A single elevated month can reflect seasonal behaviour or a one-time pricing change, but two or three consecutive months of negative MRR growth from your existing subscribers is a clear signal that your retention or product-market fit needs attention. For B2B SaaS companies with $10K to $10M in MRR, even a modest monthly contraction rate compounds quickly into a meaningful drag on net revenue retention, which directly affects your ability to forecast growth, raise capital, or scale marketing spend with confidence.
How can I benchmark my contraction MRR and churn rate against similar SaaS companies?
You can benchmark your contraction MRR and churn rate against similar SaaS companies by using Baremetrics Open Benchmarks, which aggregates anonymised subscription metrics from hundreds of real SaaS businesses and lets you filter by revenue range, business model, and billing interval. Comparing your churn rate and net revenue retention against companies at a similar MRR level gives you a defensible target to work toward rather than relying on industry averages that are often too broad to be actionable. For finance leads and founders trying to understand whether their contraction rate is a structural problem or within a normal range for their stage, this kind of peer comparison is far more useful than a generic SaaS benchmark report.
What platforms offer automated failed payment recovery to reduce involuntary churn in subscription businesses?
Baremetrics Recover is a dedicated failed payment recovery tool built directly into the Baremetrics subscription analytics platform, designed to reduce involuntary churn for SaaS and subscription businesses running on Stripe, Braintree, or Recurly. Rather than relying on your payment processor's default retry logic, Recover automatically retries failed charges on an optimised schedule and sends targeted customer-facing email sequences to prompt cardholders to update their billing details before their subscription lapses. Because Recover sits within the same platform as your MRR and churn dashboards, you can measure the recovered revenue directly against your contraction MRR in real time, giving you a clear view of how much involuntary churn you are preventing each month.

Jerusha Songate

Jerusha has a strong interest in SaaS and finding new business opportunities. She writes for Baremetrics as part of her passion for business journalism.